The Australian Property Market in 2010
Experts are struggling to know where the property market in Australia will head in 2010. Like other countries such as the United States, Canada and other European nations some experts predict a drop of more than 20% in property prices, whereas others predict an increase of between 5 and 8%.
Probably the main determining factor in property prices will be employment. Only people who have a deposit will be able to purchase real estate and new builds if the unemployment rate continues to rise and some predict that unemployment rates will soar to as high as 8%, compared to 4.5% in 2008.
The Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates by a huge 3% back in 2008 which helped many people with mortgage repayments and the new strict lending rules, issued by the Australian Government, cut down the amount of mortgages given to people who would struggle to meet the repayments.
The amount of repossessions coming onto the market has also been cut down due to these strict lending rules which have enabled the market to remain stable throughout the last few years.
The Australian Government has also started a new grant available for first time buyers to help them get onto the property ladder although, again, only beneficial if people can keep up the repayments on their mortgages.
Throughout Australia, debt levels are at an all time high, with more people borrowing from credit cards and banks to keep their heads above water and for people to purchase new properties they will have to take on more debt, which unfortunately they can’t.
Many people throughout the country are having a hard time paying their debts and many have lost their full time work and are now working part time. In 2008 the amount of people in full time employment dropped by over 44 thousand and part time jobs increased by over 40 thousand.
Another factor that will affect the property market in Australia is the world economy. Countries such as the USA, Japan and other European nations are suffering a recession and even the big player, China is experiencing a slow down. Every country, all over the world will be affected and Australia, unfortunately, will not be spared.
Although predicted to be generally weak in 2010, the property market in Australia should hold out for the first 6 months or so, and the result of the unemployment issues will be a major deciding factor on where property values goes in the next couple of years.
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